new camp site is just what i need for a couple months of re-fits and bolt downs for the big run. fitting to my what-comes-next theory, a snappy cold wave pushed thru last nite. last satellite pic from ridge camp was a clear one. we’ll see how good reception is at the new site, moving the house trailer in the morning.
ya ever notice how an iced drink behaves on a hot day? the ice gets smaller sorta steady like, then theres a pause, where the cubes are about 1/3 their starting size, and they don’t change size much for a bit. then, suddenly they’re gone? saw a version floating on the net without any attrib, so this version of the graph is direct from NSIDC, the folks who actually count the icebergs.
and why ? well it seems the ocean warming has warmed right up to the doorstep of the icepack, and the “plugs” in the straights aren’t forming. see the really dark red spots in the bering straight? and like all from Greenland to russia?
don’t worry, Santa has water pontoons on the sled.
too bad for the reindeer tho,
SuperMoon. harumph. bullies shame the smart, and american schools teach to the lowest common denominator. well, it ain’t common, it’s called “Perigee”, when the Moon is closest to Earth, as opposed to “Apogee” when it’s the furthest. One of these days we’ll rid the earth of the last of the science shamers…
whatever, tide was SUPER LOW, and that is SCIENCE WIN!!!!
ok, so that was a nice pressure drop, got 2 inches or more of rain here in the first band. yeah, not wave, band. like hurricane’s band up, so did this storm. more coming, stay tuned.
SPC TORNADO AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM REPORTS UNOFFICIAL - FOR OFFICIAL REPORTS, SEE PUBLICATION 'STORM DATA' FOR 06CST FRI OCT 14 2016 THRU 16CST FRI OCT 14 2016 EVENT LOCATION REMARKS (CST)TIME .....TORNADO REPORTS..........TORNADO REPORTS..........TORNADO REPORTS..... 1 *TORN MANZANITA OR (31 S AST) 14/0925 WATERSPOUT MOVED ONSHORE. REPORTS OF TORNADO PQR/LSR 457212393 DAMAGE IN MANZANITA. B 2 *TORN OCEANSIDE OR (48 S AST) 14/1005 PER VIDEO OBTAINED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...A PQR/LSR 454712397 WATERSPOUT FORMED OFF
pressure holding steady, sunny HI holding on barely at the coast, still getting a bunch of wood split hoping for a few days of secluded rainy creative and accordion practice.
signs pointing to some rain in the next days, fingers crossed, bellows squeezed….
nice little bit of reading here on the climate change thing. i’ve said what Carl said, we’re doomed. this paper says 2055 gets interesting. NE conus and western europe get the big storms. excellent simulations with and without ice melt, etc. in sum: the hotter we make the planet, the bigger the storms will get. in science-speak,
Increased baroclinicity produced by a stronger tempera- ture gradient provides energy for more severe weather events. Many of the most significant and devastating storms in east- ern North America and western Europe, popularly known as superstorms, have been winter cyclonic storms, though sometimes occurring in late fall or early spring, that gener- ate near-hurricane-force winds and often large amounts of snowfall (Chapter 11, Hansen, 2009). Continued warming of low-latitude oceans in coming decades will provide a larger water vapor repository that can strengthen such storms. If this tropical warming is combined with a cooler North At- lantic Ocean from AMOC slowdown and an increase in mid- latitude eddy energy (Fig. 21), we can anticipate more se- vere baroclinic storms. Increased high pressure due to cooler high-latitude ocean (Fig. 20) can make blocking situations more extreme, with a steeper pressure gradient between the storm’s low-pressure center and the blocking high, thus driv- ing stronger North Atlantic storms.
the good news? their models agree with my theory that eastern pacific will maintain it’s temp. real estate potential, jes sayin…